{"id":25572,"date":"2024-02-09T16:55:37","date_gmt":"2024-02-09T07:55:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ircn.jp\/?p=25572"},"modified":"2024-02-19T16:13:36","modified_gmt":"2024-02-19T07:13:36","slug":"20240209_shinsuke_koike_","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ircn.jp\/en\/pressrelease\/20240209_shinsuke_koike_","title":{"rendered":"Predicting psychosis before it occurs: Brain images from thousands of people worldwide have been used to create a machine learning-based classifier that could aid early diagnosis"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The onset of psychosis can be predicted before it occurs, using a machine-learning tool which can classify MRI brain scans into those who are healthy and those at risk of a psychotic episode. An international consortium including researchers from the University of Tokyo, used the classifier to compare scans from over 2,000 people from 21 global locations. About half of the participants had been identified as being clinically at high risk of developing psychosis. Using training data, the classifier was 85% accurate at differentiating between people who were not at risk and those who later experienced overt psychotic symptoms. Using new data, it was 73% accurate. This tool could be helpful in future clinical settings, as while most people who experience psychosis make a full recovery, earlier intervention typically leads to better outcomes with less negative impact on people\u2019s lives.<\/p>\n<p>Anyone might experience a psychotic episode, which commonly involves delusions, hallucinations or disorganized thinking. There is no single cause, but it can be triggered by illness or injury, trauma, drug or alcohol use, medication, or a genetic predisposition. Although it can be scary or unsettling, psychosis is treatable and most people recover. As the most common age for a first episode is during adolescence or early adulthood, when the brain and body are undergoing a lot of change, it can be difficult to identify young people in need of help.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAt most only 30% of clinical high-risk individuals later have overt psychotic symptoms, while the remaining 70% do not,\u201d explained Associate Professor Shinsuke Koike from the Graduate School of Arts and Sciences at the University of Tokyo. \u201cTherefore, clinicians need help to identify those who will go on to have psychotic symptoms using not only subclinical signs, such as changes in thinking, behavior and emotions, but also some biological markers.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The consortium of researchers have worked together to create a machine-learning tool which uses brain MRI scans to identify people at risk of psychosis before it starts. Previous studies using brain MRI have suggested that structural differences occur in the brain after the onset of psychosis. However, this is reportedly the first time that differences in the brains of those who are at very high risk but have not yet experienced psychosis have been identified.<br \/>\n<wr><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232358-1024x736.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"432\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-25799\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232358-1024x736.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232358-300x216.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232358-768x552.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232358-77x55.jpg 77w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232358-947x681.jpg 947w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232358-624x449.jpg 624w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232358.jpg 1391w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding:0px 70px\">Some people only experience a brief psychotic episode, while for others it may be longer or occur repeatedly throughout their life. According to Yale School of Medicine in the U.S., 25% of people who experience a psychotic episode will do so only once. \u00a9 Envato Elements\/ south_nostalgia<\/div>\n<p><wr><\/p>\n<p>The team from 21 different institutions in 15 different countries gathered a large and diverse group of adolescent and young adult participants. According to Koike, MRI research into psychotic disorders can be challenging because variations in brain development and in MRI machines make it difficult to get very accurate, comparable results. Also, with young people, it can be difficult to differentiate between changes that are taking place because of typical development and those due to mental illness.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cDifferent MRI models have different parameters which also influence the results,\u201d explained Koike. \u201cJust like with cameras, varied instruments and shooting specifications create different images of the same scene, in this case the participant\u2019s brain. However, we were able to correct for these differences and create a classifier which is well tuned to predicting psychosis onset.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The participants were divided into three groups of people at clinical high risk: those who later developed psychosis; those who didn\u2019t develop psychosis; and people with uncertain follow-up status (1,165 people in total for all three groups), and a fourth group of healthy controls for comparison (1,029 people). Using the scans, the researchers trained a machine-learning algorithm to identify patterns in the brain anatomy of the participants. From these four groups, the researchers used the algorithm to classify participants into two main groups of interest: healthy controls and those at high risk who later developed overt psychotic symptoms.<\/p>\n<p>In training, the tool was 85% accurate at classifying the results, while in the final test using new data it was 73% accurate at predicting which participants were at high risk of psychosis onset. Based on the results, the team considers that providing brain MRI scans for people identified as being at clinically high risk may be helpful for predicting future psychosis onset.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe still have to test whether the classifier will work well for new sets of data. Since some of the software we used is best for a fixed data set, we need to build a classifier that can robustly classify MRIs from new sites and machines, a challenge which a national brain science project in Japan, called Brain\/MINDS Beyond, is now taking on,\u201d said Koike. \u201cIf we can do this successfully, we can create more robust classifiers for new data sets, which can then be applied to real-life and routine clinical settings.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359-1024x741.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"600\" height=\"434\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-25806\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359-1024x741.png 1024w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359-300x217.png 300w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359-768x556.png 768w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359-1536x1111.png 1536w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359-76x55.png 76w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359-947x685.png 947w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359-624x451.png 624w, https:\/\/ircn.jp\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/400232359.png 1700w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/p>\n<div style=\"padding:0px 70px\"><strong>Important regions of the brain for classification.<\/strong> This image illustrates the brain regions in which differences were seen in people at clinical high risk who later developed psychosis. The darker blue areas indicate the more important brain regions for differentiating between the two main groups (healthy and those at clinical high risk who later developed psychosis). \u00a9 2024 Zhu et al.\/Molecular Psychiatry<\/div>\n<hr>\n<p><wr><br \/>\n<strong>Journal article<\/strong>: Yinghan Zhu, Norihide Maikusa, Joaquim Radua et al., \"Using Brain Structural Neuroimaging Measures to Predict Psychosis Onset for Individuals at Clinical High-Risk,\" Molecular Psychiatry: February 9, 2024, DOI:<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41380-024-02426-7\"><font color=\"blue\">10.1038\/s41380-024-02426-7<\/font><\/a>.<br \/>\nURL: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41380-024-02426-7\"><font color=\"blue\">https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41380-024-02426-7<\/a><\/font> <\/p>\n<p><strong>Departmental link<\/strong>:<br \/>\nGraduate School of Arts and Sciences - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp\/eng_site\/\"><font color=\"blue\">https:\/\/www.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp\/eng_site\/<\/a><\/font><br \/>\nCenter for Evolutionary Cognitive Sciences - <a href=\"https:\/\/ecs.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp\/en\/home\/home.html\"><font color=\"blue\">https:\/\/ecs.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp\/en\/home\/home.html<\/a><\/font><br \/>\nKoike Lab - <a href=\"https:\/\/klab.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp\/en\/\"><font color=\"blue\">https:\/\/klab.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp\/en\/<\/a><\/font><br \/>\nInternational Research Center for Neurointelligence \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/ircn.jp\/en\/\"><font color=\"blue\">https:\/\/ircn.jp\/en\/<\/a><\/font> <\/p>\n<p><strong>Research contact<\/strong>:<br \/>\nAssociate Professor Shinsuke Koike<\/p>\n<div align=\"right\">This article is reprinted from <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.u-tokyo.ac.jp\/focus\/en\/press\/z0508_00332.html\"><font color=\"blue\">UTokyo FOCUS<\/font><\/a><\/strong>.<\/div>\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The onset of psychosis can be predicted before it occurs, using a machine-learning tool which can classify MRI brain scans into those who are healthy and those at risk of a psychotic episode. 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